Category Archives: Election Profiles

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2022 Federal Election Top Income Quartile Map

2022 Federal Election Top Income Quartile Map

Category:Election Profiles,Election Profiles 2022Tags : 

If you want to know which federal seats are most likely to swing strongly to the Teal candidates at the Federal election on May 21, check out the 🔗Map below. The map shows  the percentage of top income quartile persons in 2022 Federal seats in darker shades of teal and is modelled by ADS from


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Australia votes on Saturday 21, 2022 and commented by John Black, former Labor Senator and Chief Executive of Australian Development Strategies

Federal Election Profiles 2022

Category:Australia Votes,Election Profiles 2022Tags : 

Monday 20th June, 2022 Party Machines Conking Out by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion  To Read click link 🔗 Financial Review, Monday, June 20, 2022, pages from 36 to 37 -1.pdf   Image: AFR : https://www.afr.com   2022 Federal Election Swing Map The big winners and losers in the 2022 Election can


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Key Swing Indicator Map for 2022 Federal Election

Key Swing Indicator Map for 2022 Federal Election

Category:Election Profiles,National 2022Tags : 

If you want to know which federal seats were more likely to show swings to the Opposition at the start of this election campaign, then the Esri map in this link isn’t a bad place to start.  Link 🔗  2022 FEDERAL ELECTION KEY INDICATORS (arcgis.com) The online Esri map uses the latest Australian Electoral Commission


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Political Voices: Past, Present and Future

Category:Election Profiles,National 2022Tags : 

Profiling of the Voices 2019 demographics by Australian Development Strategies shows that grassroots campaigns by Voices candidates against Liberals in 2022 – led by professional women – could be even more devastating for Labor MPs if turned against them in 2025. This means that the Federal election of 2022 is not so much a contest


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PROJECT 3 Australia 1975-77

Category:National 1966-80,Project 3 Australia 1975-77

  Introduction: Project two provided a complete national demographic analysis of variations in the Labor vote between 1966 and 1975. The demographic data was based on the application of the 1968 boundaries to the 1971 census results and the political data was based on national 1966-75 2PP votes and swings in the 1968 electorates. In


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PROJECT 7 – Key Groups for 1983

Category:National 1966-80,Project 7 Key Groups for 1983

Introduction to Project 7 Key Groups for 1983 In this project I will deal with factors endogenous to the demographic model developed in projects one to six. This part will draw together and summarise the relevant material on long-run volatility, the groups which have drifted towards or away from Labor during 1966-80, the 1980 Australian


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PROJECT 6 – Key Seats

Category:National 1966-80,Project 6 Key Seats

Introduction: One of the facts of political life in Australia is that swings at election time are never uniform. Table 6.1 presented below shows that since 1961 the range of swing has typically been about five times as large as the mean swing. Click to continue reading: Project 6 Key Seats


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PROJECT 5 – The Australian Democrats

Category:National 1966-80,Project 5 The Australian Democrats

Introduction: The Australian Democrats were formed in mid-1977 under the leadership of ex-Liberal Minister Don Chipp. The party was formed primarily to provide a vehicle for the Victorian Senate Campaign of its Leader and to a lesser extent a power base in the Senate for the same man. In this context the aim of the


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PROJECT 1 – SA 1973 to 1977

Category:National 1966-80,Project 1 SA 1973-77

  Project 1 – South Australian Research This project summarises demographic research into the South Australian elections of 1973 and 1975. The research was used by strategists to help plan the successful S.A. 1977 election campaign. Project one was included in the present report to show the background and development of demographic research techniques and


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PROJECT 4 – Australia : 1977-1980

Category:National 1966-80,Project 4 Australia 1977-80

  Project 4 – Part One Introduction: Projects two and three have provided a demographic analysis of variations in the Labor vote from 1966 to 1977, using the 1971 Census data and the 1968 boundaries. In 1976 a national census was taken which for the first time included questions dealing with income. In 1977 there