Australian Demographics Analysis, Profiling & Mapping
I had a chat with Laura Tingle on the ABC 7:30 Report on Monday night about the possible range of outcomes for the political parties and independents at the national elections, due by May 17 next year. We also canvassed some of the issues driving voters when they make their voting decision. Fellow election tragics
I had an opinion piece in the Financial Review today on the demographics driving the Voice Yes and No votes. The online edition has a lot of the charts which you might find interesting. Here’s the link to my online op ed (behind the AFR paywall): 🔗 https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/demographics-explain-how-we-voted-on-saturday-20231012-p5ebuu Our chief Mapper and head of Health Geographics
I had a story in the New Year’s edition of the AFR on the current state of play across individual seats at the forthcoming Federal Election. Here’s the link to the story, behind the AFR paywall: 🔗 It looks like Albo might need that beach house in 2025 https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/it-looks-like-albo-might-need-that-beach-house-in-2025-20241227-p5l0ss. There’s a lot that can happen
I have an election strategy piece in the Australian Financial Review special New Year’s Edition for 2024. For AFR subscribers, the link can be found here: https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/odds-for-2024-point-to-another-close-labor-win-in-2025-20231212-p5eqv2 The thrust of the AFR article is that both leaders of the two major parties seem to be talking to the converted demographics which already dominate their own
I’ve been a bit busy lately analysing polling and election data to make any social media posts and I’d like to make amends by posting my comments I made on the 7.30 report with Laura Tingle on Thursday night. https://iview.abc.net.au/video/NC2501H076S00 (The interview with Laura starts 14:10 on the timeline of the video) My comments are
My editor has okayed me posting the original story on spatial electoral strategy from the Australian Financial Review’s special New Year’s Edition and here it is. It looks as though 2024 will be a rerun of 2023 in many respects, albeit with signs of cresting and then stabilising for population growth, prices and interest rates.
Well, we’re certainly living in interesting times and in this Nightlife Podcast Phil Clark and I discuss the rise of One Nation, the possible response from the Teals and the current threats to the historic dominance of the two major parties. Listen to the Podcast
Had a chat with John Stanley of 2GB/4BC this week, at the tail end of yet another hot and humid Queensland summer of cyclones, heatwaves and floods. I recall making the suggestion to John that if the Labor PM was planning on fighting another election over the impact of global warming, then it would be
I was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this morning about my current predictions for the next federal election due before May 17, which currently puts Peter Dutton ahead in the race to win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives and hence form a Coalition Government with Peter Dutton as Prime Minister. Here’s
I was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley to discuss the rise in One Nation, the latest polls and how the Labor / Liberal party need to go back to their strengths. Here’s the link to my interview with John Stanley:
