Category Archives: Election Profiles

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John Stanley of 2GB and John Black on 29th January, 2024

John Stanley and John Black – 29th January, 2024

Category:Election ProfilesTags : 

Had a chat with John Stanley of 2GB/4BC this week, at the tail end of yet another hot and humid Queensland summer of cyclones, heatwaves and  floods. I recall making the suggestion to John that if the Labor PM was planning on fighting another election over the impact of global warming, then it would be


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There’s an hilarious cartoon in the Australian Financial Review today, with a story from me below it. My op ed piece runs through the elections and by-elections we’ve had since the last Federal election on May 21 2022. There’s some good news in there for the Government I think, from the evidence and explanations of why it’s occurring.

What happened on the weekend to rev up the week ahead.

Category:Election Profiles,Election Profiles 2024

There’s an hilarious cartoon in the Australian Financial Review today, with a story from me below it. My op ed piece runs through the elections and by-elections we’ve had since the last Federal election on May 21 2022. There’s some good news in there for the Government I think, from the evidence and explanations of


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John Stanley of 2GB and John Black on 29th January, 2024

John Stanley and John Black – 26th March, 2024

Category:Demographics,Election Profiles,Election Profiles 2024Tags : 

I caught up with John Stanley from 2GB/4BC on Tuesday night for an informal chat about an election review article I’d written for the Australian Financial Review on Monday. Here is a  .pdf link to that page. John and I talked about demographic and political events and themes over the timeline since the May 21,


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I canvas some of the underlying demographics to this trend with John Stanley on Monday and the link the podcast is here

John Stanley & John Black 17th June, 2024

Category:Demographics,Election Profiles

Political Opinion polls can be pretty unreliable at times, but lately they’ve all been moving in the same direction, which is down for the satisfaction for Anthony Albanese as PM, down for the ALP primary vote, down for the Two Party Preferred Labor vote and down for the job  the Albanese Govt is doing on


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Last weekend The Australian Financial Review published my short review of the role of religion and ethnicity in Australian politics since the 1960s.

John Stanley & John Black 8th July, 2024

Category:Demographics,Election Profiles

Last weekend The Australian Financial Review published my short review of the role of religion and ethnicity in Australian politics since the 1960s. My article was written in the context of the rise of the Muslim vote in the UK election last week and the implications of this outcome for the Australian General election, scheduled


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Queensland vote a pivotal moment for Greens, as it analyses the electoral fortunes of the Greens since the party rose from the ashes of the old Australian Democrats 20 years ago.

Queensland vote a pivotal moment for Greens

Category:Election Profiles,QLD,Qld Election 2024Tags : 

I wrote a Queensland State election preview for the Australian Financial Review which appeared at the weekend and the link is here, albeit behind the AFR paywall.   https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/queensland-vote-a-pivotal-moment-for-greens-20241024-p5kkyl The story is headlined:  Queensland vote a pivotal moment for Greens,  as it analyses the electoral fortunes of the Greens since the party rose from the


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Last weekend The Australian Financial Review published my short review of the role of religion and ethnicity in Australian politics since the 1960s.

John Stanley & John Black 28th October, 2024

Category:Demographics,Election Profiles,QLD,Qld Election 2024Tags : 

I was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this week, following my articles in the Australian Financial Review and my social media post on last weekend’s Queensland State election.   The interview with John was longer than usual and gave us a chance to deal a bit more in depth with the political implications of the State


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Election Time - John Black had a chat with Laura Tingle on the ABC 7:30 Report on Monday night about the possible range of outcomes for the political parties

Election Time Again

Category:Election Profiles,Election Profiles 2025Tags : 

I had a chat with Laura Tingle on the ABC 7:30 Report on Monday night about the possible range of outcomes for the political parties and independents at the national elections, due by May 17 next year. We also canvassed some of the issues driving voters when they make their voting decision. Fellow election tragics


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Financial Review Bruised Labor Back to Basics by John Black

Bruised Labor Back To Basics

Category:Election Profiles,Voice Referendum 2023Tags : 

I had an opinion piece in the Financial Review today on the demographics driving the Voice Yes and No votes. The online edition has a lot of the charts which you might find interesting. Here’s the link to my online op ed (behind the AFR paywall): 🔗 https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/demographics-explain-how-we-voted-on-saturday-20231012-p5ebuu Our chief Mapper and head of Health Geographics


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John Black was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this morning about his current predictions for the next federal election due before May 17.

2GB’s John Stanley & John Black 30th Dec, 2024

Category:Australia Votes,Demographics,National 2025Tags : 

I was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this morning about my current predictions for the next federal election due before May 17, which currently puts Peter Dutton ahead in the race to win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives and hence form a Coalition Government with Peter Dutton as Prime Minister. Here’s