Coalition candidates in 2022 are vulnerable to well-funded and more professionally-managed “Voices” campaigns run by local activists, particularly when factionalised party machines select a favourite candidate with a negative personal vote, as this gives a leg-up to a Voices campaign. Australian Development Strategies Modelling of booth-level profiles in a selection of Urban and Rural 2019
If you want to know which federal seats were more likely to show swings to the Opposition at the start of this election campaign, then the Esri map in this link isn’t a bad place to start. Link 🔗 2022 FEDERAL ELECTION KEY INDICATORS (arcgis.com) The online Esri map uses the latest Australian Electoral Commission
Profiling of the Voices 2019 demographics by Australian Development Strategies shows that grassroots campaigns by Voices candidates against Liberals in 2022 – led by professional women – could be even more devastating for Labor MPs if turned against them in 2025. This means that the Federal election of 2022 is not so much a contest
