Tag Archives: Australia Votes

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Election Time - John Black had a chat with Laura Tingle on the ABC 7:30 Report on Monday night about the possible range of outcomes for the political parties

Election Time Again

Category:Election Profiles,Election Profiles 2025Tags : 

I had a chat with Laura Tingle on the ABC 7:30 Report on Monday night about the possible range of outcomes for the political parties and independents at the national elections, due by May 17 next year. We also canvassed some of the issues driving voters when they make their voting decision. Fellow election tragics


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Profile of Modelled Primary & 2PP votes by Incomes for Families- with kids.

Forthcoming Federal Elections Current State of Play Across Individual Seats

Category:Election Profiles,Election Profiles 2025Tags : 

I had a story in the New Year’s edition of the AFR on the current state of play across individual seats at the forthcoming Federal Election. Here’s the link to the story, behind the AFR paywall: 🔗 It looks like Albo might need that beach house in 2025  https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/it-looks-like-albo-might-need-that-beach-house-in-2025-20241227-p5l0ss. There’s a lot that can happen


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John Black was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this morning about his current predictions for the next federal election due before May 17.

2GB’s John Stanley & John Black 30th Dec, 2024

Category:Australia Votes,Demographics,National 2025Tags : 

I was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this morning about my current predictions for the next federal election due before May 17, which currently puts Peter Dutton ahead in the race to win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives and hence form a Coalition Government with Peter Dutton as Prime Minister. Here’s


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2022 Federal Election Top Income Quartile Map

2022 Federal Election Top Income Quartile Map

Category:Election Profiles,Election Profiles 2022Tags : 

If you want to know which federal seats are most likely to swing strongly to the Teal candidates at the Federal election on May 21, check out the 🔗Map below. The map shows  the percentage of top income quartile persons in 2022 Federal seats in darker shades of teal and is modelled by ADS from


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Australia votes on Saturday 21, 2022 and commented by John Black, former Labor Senator and Chief Executive of Australian Development Strategies

Federal Election Profiles 2022

Category:Australia Votes,Election Profiles 2022Tags : 

Monday 20th June, 2022 Party Machines Conking Out by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion  To Read click link 🔗 Financial Review, Monday, June 20, 2022, pages from 36 to 37 -1.pdf   Image: AFR : https://www.afr.com   2022 Federal Election Swing Map The big winners and losers in the 2022 Election can