I had a chat with Laura Tingle on the ABC 7:30 Report on Monday night about the possible range of outcomes for the political parties and independents at the national elections, due by May 17 next year. We also canvassed some of the issues driving voters when they make their voting decision. Fellow election tragics
I had a story in the New Year’s edition of the AFR on the current state of play across individual seats at the forthcoming Federal Election. Here’s the link to the story, behind the AFR paywall: 🔗 It looks like Albo might need that beach house in 2025 https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/it-looks-like-albo-might-need-that-beach-house-in-2025-20241227-p5l0ss. There’s a lot that can happen
I was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this morning about my current predictions for the next federal election due before May 17, which currently puts Peter Dutton ahead in the race to win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives and hence form a Coalition Government with Peter Dutton as Prime Minister. Here’s
We’ve just finished some preliminary charts and an online map (see map link on the first page) on the 2025 results based on the early counts. We will update with the final primary and 2PP results in a week or so. It was a really interesting result, in terms of the preference allocations to the
If you want to know which federal seats are most likely to swing strongly to the Teal candidates at the Federal election on May 21, check out the 🔗Map below. The map shows the percentage of top income quartile persons in 2022 Federal seats in darker shades of teal and is modelled by ADS from
Monday 20th June, 2022 Party Machines Conking Out by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion To Read click link 🔗 Financial Review, Monday, June 20, 2022, pages from 36 to 37 -1.pdf Image: AFR : https://www.afr.com 2022 Federal Election Swing Map The big winners and losers in the 2022 Election can
