Tag Archives: esrimapping

  • -
Eden Monaro By Election snapshot of results

National implications of Eden-Monaro by-election

Category:By-Elections Tags : 

The Eden-Monaro by-election was held on July 4 and won by Labor’s Kristy McBain, despite a small 2PP swing to the Liberal candidate Fiona Kotvojs.

Notwithstanding the small net swing, the range of swings for and against the ALP were 25 percent, which indicated that there was a considerable range of political views about each candidate. Modelling of the booth returns showed strong demographic drivers underlying the swings.

As Eden-Monaro is an excellent representative sample of Australia, demographically, spatially and politically, we profiled the 2PP results by pre-poll and election day booth catchments and projected these onto all Australian federal seats.

We stress that the by-election results are only a snapshot of how individual candidates performed at a certain time and in a specific set of circumstances and these circumstances will have changed significantly between July 4 and the next election.

Click to view demographics for Eden-Monaro by 4th July,2020

Eden Monaro By Election snapshot of results

The booths swinging to Labor tended to contain higher percentages of lower-income families and retirees, often employed part time in tourism and hospitality jobs which had been heavily impacted by the Covid-related lockdowns impacting this sector.

Those booths swinging to the Coalition tended to contain higher income families in secure white-collar jobs, least impacted by Covid jobs lockdowns.

For seat by seat projections of the Eden-Monaro swings onto all current federal seats, see the attached map.

 

Comments from John Black, founder of ADS and Education Geographics and map from Dr Jeanine McMullan, CEO of Health Geographics.

 


Search

Recent News

2022 Federal Election Top Income Quartile Map
Australia votes on Saturday 21, 2022 and commented by John Black, former Labor Senator and Chief Executive of Australian Development Strategies
Key Swing Indicator Map for 2022 Federal Election
EGS Spatial Analyst and Senior Mapper Dr Jeanine McMullan has just recorded a new video
Covid Impacts For School Planners- Using available data from late 2021, the Education Geographics team calculated post-Covid spatial estimates from 2020 to 2031 on total population, pre-schoolers and school-aged children.
Allan Shaw, School Whisperer, Farewell to the best job in the world
Covid Vax Map Update 9-9-2021
Vaccination Rates by Age and Jabs by Family Income by Health Geographics

Vaccination Maps

Flyfishing - Lockdown Daydreaming | Freshwater Fly Fishermen

Lockdown Daydreaming

So far, so good. But what happens when we check out the profile of the 20 to 25 percent of jobs which come late to the party?
Rubbery Jobs Figures I had a little piece in The Australian today on some of the modelling and mapping work we’ve been doing recently at Education Geographics, mostly for schools.

Rubbery Jobs Figures

Marketing Strategies for Schools - Looking beyond covid, spatially, Education Geographics for School Management & Marketing Strategies for education institutions in Australia.

We Told You So..

What’s in an Age?

Covid Jobs update from John Black, CEO of Education Geographics, October 6, 2020.

Watching The Watchers

Eden Monaro By Election snapshot of results
Jobs Recovery was underway in May following intial hit in March / April.
The Eden-Monaro by-election will be held on July 4.
Impact on Australian Employment by COVID-19 21st May20 20
Total Job Losses Due To Covid 19
COVID 19 Map published in the The Australian
COVID-19 and the Impact of the jobs market on Non-Government school enrolments for 2021
New Historical Map of Arlington Shows What County Looked Like 100 Years Ago
How Data-Driven John Deere Wins the Market
Saving ‘Half of Earth’ to save humanity. On the occasion of the Half Earth Day, a look at what E.O. Wilson Foundation is doing to save the global biodiversity, and how organizations like Esri are contributing to the cause.