Our Services

Education Geographics

Your anonymised school enrolment data is exhaustively analysed by our EGS teams of professional statisticians, demographic profilers, and spatial analysts to help you to answer critical strategic questions.

Who are our parents? What can their own background and profile tell us about what they want from our school? How do we talk to them on social media? Can they afford our fees? Where can we find more of them? How can we transport them to our school?

Australian Development Strategies

ELABORATE is the name given to both the database and the analytical techniques developed by Australian Development Strategies Pty Ltd (ADS) principals during 50 years of experience in using demographic analysis, profiling and mapping to solve practical problems.

ADS Pty Ltd is the parent company of and data provider to Education Geographics and Health Geographics.

Health Geographics

Health Geographics was established by ADS to link the health component of the Elaborate database with an online dashboard and Esri maps, to develop a new business focussing on health and welfare services, our fastest growing industry group, which has generated one in three Australian jobs in the last decade.

Health Geographics provides online dashboards and maps highlighting investment risks and opportunities for Australian Health and Welfare sectors.

 

Recent News

Webinar with Saul Eslake will focus on the impact of the US Presidential Election on the Australian economy.

Webinar: Saul Eslake on US Presidential Election Impact on Australian Economy

We are pleased to welcome back Australia’s living economic legend Saul Eslake to our Education Geographics Webinars on November 15,

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 05 ,2024
Last weekend The Australian Financial Review published my short review of the role of religion and ethnicity in Australian politics since the 1960s.

John Stanley & John Black 28th October, 2024

I was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this week, following my articles in the Australian Financial Review and my social

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JBl@ck-ElaborateOctober 31 ,2024
Queensland vote a pivotal moment for Greens, as it analyses the electoral fortunes of the Greens since the party rose from the ashes of the old Australian Democrats 20 years ago.

Queensland vote a pivotal moment for Greens

I wrote a Queensland State election preview for the Australian Financial Review which appeared at the weekend and the link

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JBl@ck-ElaborateOctober 28 ,2024
Last weekend The Australian Financial Review published my short review of the role of religion and ethnicity in Australian politics since the 1960s.

John Stanley & John Black 8th July, 2024

Last weekend The Australian Financial Review published my short review of the role of religion and ethnicity in Australian politics

Read More
JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 09 ,2024
I canvas some of the underlying demographics to this trend with John Stanley on Monday and the link the podcast is here

John Stanley & John Black 17th June, 2024

Political Opinion polls can be pretty unreliable at times, but lately they’ve all been moving in the same direction, which

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJune 17 ,2024
Health Geographics has won the prestigious InfoSol 2024 Award for the Best Business Dashboard 2024, for its Private Health Care Australia Dash App.

HGS Win InfoSol 2024 Award

Health Geographics has won the prestigious InfoSol 2024 Award for the Best Business Dashboard 2024, for its Private Health Care

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMay 27 ,2024
John Stanley of 2GB and John Black on 29th January, 2024

John Stanley and John Black – 26th March, 2024

I caught up with John Stanley from 2GB/4BC on Tuesday night for an informal chat about an election review article

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMarch 28 ,2024
There’s an hilarious cartoon in the Australian Financial Review today, with a story from me below it. My op ed piece runs through the elections and by-elections we’ve had since the last Federal election on May 21 2022. There’s some good news in there for the Government I think, from the evidence and explanations of why it’s occurring.

What happened on the weekend to rev up the week ahead.

There’s an hilarious cartoon in the Australian Financial Review today, with a story from me below it. My op ed

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMarch 25 ,2024
Dunkley Election - VIC Demographic Analysis, Profiling & Mapping

Dunkley By-Election

I’ve written a profile of the by-election on Saturday in Dunkley for the Australian Financial Review, putting it in the

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMarch 03 ,2024
Australian Female Participation Rates and Independent School Market share. As the female jobs increased, so did Independent Market Share.

Australian Female Participation Rates and Independent School Market share.

🎓I put on my Education Geographics hat today to write an opinion piece for the Australian Financial Review for Tuesday’s

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JBl@ck-ElaborateFebruary 20 ,2024
John Stanley of 2GB and John Black on 29th January, 2024

John Stanley and John Black – 29th January, 2024

Had a chat with John Stanley of 2GB/4BC this week, at the tail end of yet another hot and humid

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JBl@ck-ElaborateFebruary 04 ,2024
Seats won by major political groups in 2022 by SES & income quartiles

The odds still point to another close Labor win in 2025.

My editor has okayed me posting the original story on spatial electoral strategy from the Australian Financial Review’s special New

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJanuary 06 ,2024
The quest for unclaimed ground. I have an election strategy piece in the Australian Financial Review special New Year’s Edition for 2024.

The Quest for Unclaimed Ground

I have an election strategy piece in the Australian Financial Review special New Year’s Edition for 2024. For AFR subscribers,

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJanuary 01 ,2024
Are you a student studying Geography, GIS, or Spatial Statistics?

Great Opportunity

Are you a student who is studying Geography, GIS, or Spatial Statistics or a mature-aged person seeking to re-enter the

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 29 ,2023
John Stanley 4BC Interview with John Black

John Stanley and John Black – 8th November

I had the pleasure of meeting with John Stanley of 2GB/4BC for a captivating conversation about Australian and international demographics.

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 09 ,2023
Financial Review Bruised Labor Back to Basics by John Black

Bruised Labor Back To Basics

I had an opinion piece in the Financial Review today on the demographics driving the Voice Yes and No votes.

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JBl@ck-ElaborateOctober 16 ,2023

Good to go! 👍

I can tell New Zealand Customs that, in all honesty, I definitely packed this bag myself. Not quite a triumph

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 17 ,2023
Kids Packing List

Kids’ Packing List

After a week working on combined SQL and AI data and text modelling, I decided to go low tech for

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 16 ,2023
Getting a share of the pie before taking off to NZ

Angling for a share

The kids and I are getting our fair share of the pie before packing for our trip to NZ next

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 15 ,2023

Off to Tongariro

Guess who is taking the family for a fly fishing trip to the mighty Tongariro? 🎣 Our first trip to

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 13 ,2023

Aspirational Left voters rise again in NSW State Election

Above is a snip of our ADS/Esri online map showing in shades of red the larger estimated Two Party Preferred

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMarch 26 ,2023
Read the full background stories about the Aspirational Left Families now reshaping Australia

New Face of Politics

Read the full background stories about the Aspirational Left Families now reshaping Australia Three key decisions that adults in Australia

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMarch 13 ,2023
Here’s a snip of an ADS/ESRI online map showing dark red shading for the three federal seats of Brisbane, Griffith and Ryan. All three seats were won by the Greens from the Liberals or from Labor in 2022, despite big Two Party Preferred (2PP) swings and votes to the ALP.

Rise of the Aspirational Left voters reshaping Australia

Here’s a snip of an ADS/ESRI online map showing dark red shading for the three federal seats of Brisbane, Griffith

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMarch 03 ,2023
Political Pitfalls Ahead by John Black, AFR New Year Special

Political Pitfalls Ahead

I have a little opinion piece in the Australian Financial Review’s New Year Special Edition on some of the political

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 29 ,2022
What if the PM ended the climate wars for good

What if the PM ended the climate wars for good?

If Labor’s 2030 carbon emissions target is blocked by the Greens in the Senate, most Canberra Observers would expect Anthony

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 16 ,2022
I cannot believe this! Here's Tim's perfect Canadian toasted marshmallows #Spatsizi The man does it with an electric drill on slow speed. Unbelievable. Fantastic taste.

Klahova Lake Today

Beautiful final day with no. 1 son at Klahoya Lake today. We parked the float tubes for a camp fire

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 01 ,2022
Number two son with Papa Ray and soon to be released Grayling at the Grayling Hole #Spatsizi

Grayling Hole – Spatsizi

We’re all off to the Grayling Hole #Spatsizi today. Woo hoo! Spot the Bald Eagle on the nest in top

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 01 ,2022
So far you've been spared the grip'n'grin shots ... but ... well ... these feisty little guys were so darn pretty we couldn't resist #Spatsizi today.

Time to catch (and release) some unwary trout.

Day whatever of our week dawns #Spatsizi and the pilots are already fuelling their floatplanes to take us out to

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJune 30 ,2022
View wasn't hard to take on our hill climb today.

Today we’re mountain climbing behind Lake Ella

In bear country, I like a guide who packs heat. Today we’re mountain climbing behind Lake Ella. All packed and

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJune 28 ,2022
A bloke caught a few rainbows, had a nice lunch. Deserved a break. Nice backdrop.

Early to bed for this little black duck.

Heading home from the Firesteel today #Spatsizi. Early to bed for this little black duck. Our guide Ray Collingwood was

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJune 27 ,2022
Flying up front in the Cessna 185

Nature Putting On A Show

Flying up front in the Cessna 185 and getting a goat’s eye view of the ranges en route to the

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJune 25 ,2022
We had an afternoon to spare in beautiful downturn Smithers and paused, en route to the off licence, for this stunning shot of a twilight soccer match. Qld doesn't have the snowy backdrop, but it could have twilight sport with daylight saving.

Twightlight Soccer Match

We had an afternoon to spare in beautiful downturn Smithers and paused, en route to the off licence, for this

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJune 24 ,2022
Hey Big Guy! We made it to Smithers! Cheery welcome from on old furry friend in the airport foyer. And from Reg Collingwood #Spatsizi

We made it to Smithers!

Hey Big Guy! We made it to Smithers! Cheery welcome from on old furry friend in the airport foyer. And

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJune 24 ,2022
A menu, a wine list, a backdrop of beautiful Vancouver harbour...aaahh ... we're finally off on Air Canada to #Spatsizi

We’re on our way Spatsizi

A menu, a wine list, a backdrop of beautiful Vancouver harbour…aaahh … we’re finally off on Air Canada to #Spatsizi

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJune 23 ,2022
We're off on Air Canada to #Spatsizi finally, after 2.5 years of covid. No dramas at Sydney today if you're 3 hours plus early. As the signs says, we can relax (touch wood)

Off to Spatsizi

We’re off on Air Canada to #Spatsizi finally, after 2.5 years of covid. No dramas at Sydney today if you’re

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJune 23 ,2022
2022 Federal Election Swing Map

2022 Federal Election Swing Map

The big winners and losers in the 2022 Election can be seen in our online interactive ADS 2022 Election Map.

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJune 20 ,2022

Political Voices: A Map

Coalition candidates in 2022 are vulnerable to well-funded and more professionally-managed “Voices” campaigns run by local activists, particularly when factionalised

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMay 19 ,2022
2022 Federal Election Top Income Quartile Map

2022 Federal Election Top Income Quartile Map

If you want to know which federal seats are most likely to swing strongly to the Teal candidates at the

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMay 01 ,2022
Australia votes on Saturday 21, 2022 and commented by John Black, former Labor Senator and Chief Executive of Australian Development Strategies

Federal Election Profiles 2022

Monday 20th June, 2022 Party Machines Conking Out by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion  To Read click

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JBl@ck-ElaborateApril 19 ,2022
Key Swing Indicator Map for 2022 Federal Election

Key Swing Indicator Map for 2022 Federal Election

If you want to know which federal seats were more likely to show swings to the Opposition at the start

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JBl@ck-ElaborateApril 12 ,2022

Political Voices: Past, Present and Future

Profiling of the Voices 2019 demographics by Australian Development Strategies shows that grassroots campaigns by Voices candidates against Liberals in

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JBl@ck-ElaborateFebruary 14 ,2022
EGS Spatial Analyst and Senior Mapper Dr Jeanine McMullan has just recorded a new video

‘I really like our maps … they’re great fun!’

Our EGS Spatial Analyst and Senior Mapper Dr Jeanine McMullan has just recorded a new video. In the video, headed

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JBl@ck-ElaborateFebruary 10 ,2022
Covid Impacts For School Planners- Using available data from late 2021, the Education Geographics team calculated post-Covid spatial estimates from 2020 to 2031 on total population, pre-schoolers and school-aged children.

Covid Impacts For School Planners

Using available data from late 2021, the Education Geographics team calculated post-Covid spatial estimates from 2020 to 2031 on total

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJanuary 18 ,2022

School Leaders: No time for complacency

In late 2021, Australia appears headed for a strong economic recovery, but underlying structural problems mean this is no time

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 02 ,2021
Allan Shaw, School Whisperer, Farewell to the best job in the world

Allan Shaw, School Whisperer – Farewell to the best job in the world

Leading a school is the best job in the world, bringing together professional staff and parents to build a community

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 22 ,2021
Covid Vax Map Update 9-9-2021

Vacination Map Update as at September 13, 2021

The Australian Department of Health is now publishing regular updates showing vaccination rates as a percentage of those 15 years

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 09 ,2021
Vaccination Rates by Age and Jabs by Family Income by Health Geographics

Profile of Australian Regional Vaccination Rates, as at August 28, 2021

By John Black, Chairman of ADS So many readers enjoyed the online Covid Vax maps from Health Geographics CEO Dr

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JBl@ck-ElaborateAugust 31 ,2021

Vaccination Maps

Vaccination Maps In the public interest, the CEO of Health Geographics Dr Jeanine McMullan has mapped via the following link,

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JBl@ck-ElaborateAugust 29 ,2021
Flyfishing - Lockdown Daydreaming | Freshwater Fly Fishermen

Lockdown Daydreaming

During the long months of overlapping Covid lockdowns across all Australian states and the international lockdown to international travel, which

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JBl@ck-ElaborateAugust 18 ,2021

What’s The Impact Of Covid On Education?

🎙 Steve Austin interviews John Black, Founder of Education Geographics.   John discusses with Steve the role of aspirational parents

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JBl@ck-ElaborateAugust 09 ,2021
So far, so good. But what happens when we check out the profile of the 20 to 25 percent of jobs which come late to the party?

Big Data Improves with Age

When it comes to their new Weekly Payroll Jobs and Wages series, the ABS this week agreed with our ADS

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJune 29 ,2021
Rubbery Jobs Figures I had a little piece in The Australian today on some of the modelling and mapping work we’ve been doing recently at Education Geographics, mostly for schools.

Rubbery Jobs Figures

I had a little piece in The Australian today on some of the modelling and mapping work we’ve been doing

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMay 10 ,2021
Marketing Strategies for Schools - Looking beyond covid, spatially, Education Geographics for School Management & Marketing Strategies for education institutions in Australia.

Looking Beyond Covid – Spatially

Australia is predicted to lose a million persons in the next few years, when compared to pre-Covid estimates. These losses

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 30 ,2020

We Told You So..

JobMaker misses the real target by John Black, CEO of Education Geographics, November 17, 2020 Today’s ABS Single Touch Payroll

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 17 ,2020

What’s in an Age?

Covid Jobs Update from John Black, CEO of Education Geographics, October 12, 2020 Some economists, trade unions and the Labor

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JBl@ck-ElaborateOctober 14 ,2020
Covid Jobs update from John Black, CEO of Education Geographics, October 6, 2020.

Newer Isn’t Always Better

Covid Jobs update from John Black, CEO of Education Geographics, October 6, 2020. A week or so back we provided

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JBl@ck-ElaborateOctober 07 ,2020

Watching The Watchers

Covid Jobs update from John Black, CEO of Education Geographics, September 23, 2020. So which groups and regions have been

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 23 ,2020
Eden Monaro By Election snapshot of results

National implications of Eden-Monaro by-election

The Eden-Monaro by-election was held on July 4 and won by Labor’s Kristy McBain, despite a small 2PP swing to

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 14 ,2020
Jobs Recovery was underway in May following intial hit in March / April.

Jobs Recovery Was Underway In May Following Initial Hit In March/April

The recovery in many jobs was well under way in May. It’s been most pronounced in those hit first in

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJune 27 ,2020
The Eden-Monaro by-election will be held on July 4.

Eden-Monaro by-election 2020

By JOHN BLACK, Founder of ADS The Eden-Monaro by-election will be held on July 4. With a week to go,

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJune 27 ,2020
Impact on Australian Employment by COVID-19 21st May20 20

Impact on Australian Employment by COVID-19

We trace the jobs impact of the Covid-19 labour market shutdown in a news article and a linked online story

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMay 23 ,2020
Total Job Losses Due To Covid 19

Mapping the impact of Covid downturn

A co-operative venture between Australian Development Strategies, Health Geographics and Education Geographics has set out to regularly monitor, profile and

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMay 08 ,2020
COVID 19 Map published in the The Australian

Link to Covid 19 Map Published in the The Australian

A demographic profile of Covid-19 begins to emerge from the chaos of the first wave of tests. Dear Colleagues, this

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMarch 31 ,2020
COVID-19 and the Impact of the jobs market on Non-Government school enrolments for 2021

COVID-19 and the Impact of the jobs market on Non-Government school enrolments for 2021

Dear Colleagues,  due to the changing environment and our response to COVID-19, I will be posting a series of updates

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMarch 19 ,2020

GIS in the Classroom

A Conversation with Ali Pressel & Kyle Tredinnick In October 2019, Teacher Advisory Council members Ali Pressel and Kyle Tredinnick

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JBl@ck-ElaborateFebruary 10 ,2020
What Generation Z Wants from Work, Where

What Generation Z Wants from Work, Where

Written by Helen Thompson. A new survey of business and engineering students and their employer preferences offers vital insights on

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJanuary 25 ,2020
Mapping The Worl'ds Islands - ESRI

Mapping The World’s Islands

BY MARK ALTAWEEL There are over 300,000 islands in the world and most of these are poorly documented or generally unknown.

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJanuary 11 ,2020
The Trouble With Chocolate

The Trouble with Chocolate

Story by Steven Mufson | Photos by Salwan Georges A decade after Mars and other chocolate makers vowed to stop rampant deforestation, the

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 14 ,2019
New Historical Map of Arlington Shows What County Looked Like 100 Years Ago

New Historical Map of Arlington Shows What County Looked Like 100 Years Ago

A new historical map of Arlington allows users to explore what the county looked like 100 years ago. The digital map depicts

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 30 ,2019
Air Pollution Kills as Many People as Cigarettes

Air Pollution Kills as Many People as Cigarettes

By Neha Pathak, MD Editor’s note: This story was updated Oct. 25, 2019 with a new analysis of air quality data

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 18 ,2019

PROJECT 3 Australia 1975-77

  Introduction: Project two provided a complete national demographic analysis of variations in the Labor vote between 1966 and 1975.

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 08 ,2019

PROJECT 7 – Key Groups for 1983

  Introduction: In this project I will deal with factors endogenous to the demographic model developed in projects one to

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 08 ,2019

PROJECT 6 – Key Seats

Introduction: One of the facts of political life in Australia is that swings at election time are never uniform. Table

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 08 ,2019

PROJECT 5 – The Australian Democrats

Introduction: The Australian Democrats were formed in mid-1977 under the leadership of ex-Liberal Minister Don Chipp. The party was formed

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 08 ,2019

PROJECT 1 – SA 1973 to 1977

  Project 1 – South Australian Research This project summarises demographic research into the South Australian elections of 1973 and

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 08 ,2019

PROJECT 4 – Australia : 1977-1980

  Project 4 – Part One Introduction: Projects two and three have provided a demographic analysis of variations in the

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 08 ,2019

PROJECT 2 – Australia 1966-75

  Project 2A  1966-75 Averages Introduction:  This second project begins where the South Australian project ends. We start with an

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 08 ,2019
How Data-Driven John Deere Wins the Market

HOW DATA-DRIVEN JOHN DEERE WINS THE MARKET

Written by: Marianna Kantor, Frits van der Schaaf Article snapshot: Using AI-based predictive analysis, John Deere helps its dealers spot growth

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 01 ,2019
Saving ‘Half of Earth’ to save humanity. On the occasion of the Half Earth Day, a look at what E.O. Wilson Foundation is doing to save the global biodiversity, and how organizations like Esri are contributing to the cause.

SAVING ‘HALF OF EARTH’ TO SAVE HUMANITY

On the occasion of the Half Earth Day, a look at what E.O. Wilson Foundation is doing to save the

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JBl@ck-ElaborateOctober 19 ,2019

SPATSIZI FISHING TRIP 2019 – JOHN & JACK BLACK

Recreational Research on the local trout at Spatsizi Wilderness Lodge. Wow! A double rainbow crowns a wet and cold Brisbane

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 28 ,2019
Election Analysis - 2019

ELECTION ANALYSIS 2019

Here’s a fantastic Esri map done by Australian Development Strategies and Education Geographics Senior Mapper Dr Jeanine McMullan. It’s online,

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMay 25 ,2019

THE (almost) LAST POST ON LABOR FROM 2019 ELECTION

Hi there political tragics. The 2019 election has been fought and finalised and we’re just about finished our preview of

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMay 25 ,2019
Labor Digs A Hole With Miners - Federal Election 2019

LABOR DIGS A HOLE WITH MINERS

Hello again, political tragics. As we proceed with our 2019 profiling, the longer-term damage Labor has done to itself with

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMay 21 ,2019
Shifting Demographic Tectonics - National Election 2019

SHIFTING DEMOGRAPHIC TECTONICS

Hi again, election tragics. We’re currently sifting through the statistical entrails of Saturday’s election, looking for key demographic characteristics of

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMay 20 ,2019
The Religious Rudd and Grey Voters - their significance in the Federal Election 2019

THE RELIGIOUS RUDD AND THE GREY VOTERS

Hi there again, election tragics. Sorry I’m late with this short article but I had to ice the cupcakes for

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMay 18 ,2019

STEREOTYPES AND VOTING

Hi there, election tragics. Here’s some data in Excel form for you to play with, in the lead up to

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMay 16 ,2019
Raise the Scarlet Standard High by Glyn Davis - Vice-Chancellor, the University of Melbourne

RAISE THE SCARLET STANDARD HIGH

29 August 2018 AFR Higher Education Conference “Raise the Scarlet Standard High” by Glyn Davis – Vice-Chancellor, the University of Melbourne

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 18 ,2018
Longman By-Election - 2018 Qld

LONGMAN BY-ELECTION 2018

The ADS team has prepared an exhaustive profile of by-election swings in Bennelong, New England, Longman and Mayo. A full

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JBl@ck-ElaborateAugust 03 ,2018
Malcolm Turnbull campaigns in Caboolture, in the Queensland seat of Longman

DIVINING VOTES ALL ABOUT SWINGS AND ROUNDABOUTS AT BY-ELECTIONS

Provided your humble correspondent is not eaten by a grizzly bear next week while trout-hunting in the wilds of northwest

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 24 ,2018
John Black with Jack Dangermond - Esri User Conference 2018

MEETING WITH JACK D

Jeanine and I are soaking up the latest GIS, Stats, AR developments at the Esri User Conference in San Diego

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 13 ,2018
GFC-impact-on-three-sectors

2017 EDUCATION STATS ROUND UP

Here is a summary of slides presented in late 2017 to Principals, Vice Principals, Business Managers and Marketers. Data is

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJanuary 22 ,2018
New England and Bennelong By Elections in NSW

NEW ENGLAND AND BENNELONG BY-ELECTIONS

See for yourself in our Esri online map how local demographics fed into the results in New England and Bennelong

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 22 ,2017
Australian Labour Force May 2017

TRADIES UP, BUT CLERKS & SALES JOBS DISAPPEAR

The national Year on Year employment to population ratio and the participation rate stopped their downward slide during the February

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JBl@ck-ElaborateAugust 25 ,2017

CLERKS REPLACE TRADIES AS DOMINANT ALP BLOC

One in four women work as professionals. Their support for Labor candidates steadily increased from 1980 under Coalition Prime Minister

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JBl@ck-ElaborateAugust 07 ,2017

JOB MARKET CHANGES HIT SCHOOLS & UNIS

Only about 45 per cent of year 12 students from Government schools in 2015 said they had a Bachelor degree

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJanuary 05 ,2017

MIDDLE CLASS JOBS HOLLOWING OUT

78,300 full time jobs were lost for Tradesmen and Tradeswomen in the past year, virtually all of them in the

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJanuary 05 ,2017

OWEN RIVER LODGE HIGHLIGHTS 2015/16

Running a fishing lodge can be a complex thing. There are so many variables to take into account, without doubt,

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JBl@ck-ElaborateAugust 09 ,2016

WE’RE BACK! SPATSIZI LODGE, BC

Now I’m a sensitive Green kind of guy, but when you’re up this close, I think it’s fair to say

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JBl@ck-ElaborateAugust 03 ,2017

FINALLY GOING BACK IN 2017 TO REVIST SPATSIZI

Twelve years ago at a Vancouver airport lounge, a tall Prussian looking gentleman strode past me, carrying a four piece

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJanuary 06 ,2017

DEMOGRAPHIC GUIDE TO 2016 ELECTIONS

ADS, in conjunction with ESRI and Map Data Services, have produced a dashboard and linked interactive maps, to show you

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJune 23 ,2016

PHOTO ESSAY FROM KIWI GUIDE ZANE MIRFIN

This summer – apart from a brief early season trip to Owen River Lodge – I haven’t had a chance to

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMay 20 ,2016
Don Dunstan

SA 1973 to 1977

Project One – The South Australian Research This is the original research carried out by John Black while working on

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJune 28 ,2016

EDUCATION SECTOR CHANGES 2008-2015

The Australian economy has been hit by a series of economic upheavals and mixed economic responses from Governments since the

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JBl@ck-ElaborateApril 19 ,2016

A big one that didn’t get away

I’m standing in the front of a small wooden dinghy which is floating on a remote loch in the central

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMarch 05 ,2016
ADS-Jobs-Profile-Feb-Qtr-2015

LABOUR MARKET – NOV QUARTER 2015

The labour market entered a period of recovery in the 12 months leading up to the November Quarter 2015, when

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJanuary 24 ,2016
ADS-Jobs-Profile-Feb-Qtr-2015

Nov 2015 Australian Jobs Update

The Australian Labour market began a recovery phase in mid-2014 and this now appears to be continuing, despite fluctuations in

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 10 ,2015

Do you want healthy living with that green tea?

A wedding invitation from an old friend who is a Chinese Australian took me unexpectedly on my first trip to

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 05 ,2015
ADS-Jobs-Profile-Feb-Qtr-2015

October 2015 – Australian Jobs Update

The Australian Labour market began a recovery phase in mid-2014 and this now appears to be continuing, despite fluctuations in

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 12 ,2015

OWEN RIVER LODGE – CAN’T WAIT TO DO IT ALL AGAIN

Bottom line with any trip is whether you’d do it again. With Owen River Lodge the answer is yes and

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JBl@ck-ElaborateOctober 18 ,2015

AUG QTR 2015 – AUSTRALIAN JOBS PROFILE

Summary : Signs of recovery detected in May Quarter Labour Force figures have evaporated. Year on Year figures to August

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JBl@ck-ElaborateOctober 16 ,2015

AUSTRALIAN ELECTION PROFILES 1966 TO 1980

PROJECT 1  – South Australia  1973 to 1977 PROJECT 2A, B & C – Any election you win is a good

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 28 ,2015
1983 strategy graph map

Demographic Strategy for Historic ALP Win

The historic election win by Bob Hawke in 1983 set Labor up for more than a decade of reformist Governments.

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 18 ,2015

MAY QTR 2015 – AUSTRALIAN JOB PROFILE

The Labour Market national summary figures look strong, but a detailed examination shows structural and demographic weaknesses. Many of the

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 10 ,2015

Roller Coaster for Grown ups

NIMMO BAY Canada. https://nimmobay.com/   Talk about an adrenalin rush. I’m strapped down tight in a Bell Jet helicopter two

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 03 ,2015

2015 NSW State Election Profile

The current study takes a close look at the demographic characteristics of New South Wales voters who supported Labor or

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JBl@ck-ElaborateApril 03 ,2015

Wetting a line in Rugby Territory

John Black – Fly fishing Cape Town, South Africa If Rugby Union is indeed the sport for thugs played by

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JBl@ck-ElaborateApril 01 ,2015
ADS-Jobs-Profile-Feb-Qtr-2015

Australian Jobs profile for Feb Qtr. 2015

This report focuses on participation rates and the political and welfare links to participation rates across regions. It starts with

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMarch 26 ,2015

Labour Market – Feb Quarter 2015

Job losses in Northern NSW to impact State Poll According to the latest ABS labour market statistics more than 55,000

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMarch 23 ,2015

2015 – Qld State Election Report

A week after the election on January 31, it is still unclear which of the two major parties will form

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JBl@ck-ElaborateFebruary 06 ,2015

Small Streams Big Thrills

I learned to fly fish 23 years ago, on the beautiful Bundara River at Anglers Rest in North East Victoria.

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJanuary 12 ,2015

DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE OF QLD VOTES IN 2012

The strongest swings against the ALP in 2012 were from Labor’s own 2009 Labor voters. This swing correlation of minus

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 16 ,2014

MAY QTR 2014 – LABOUR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATE MAP

  To locate a postcode, type your postcode into the search window and hit enter. Click on the search result

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 15 ,2014

MAY QTR 2014 – AUSTRALIAN JOB PROFILE

Originally published in “The Australian”   During the 12 months to May 2014, YoY employment growth was 99,400, unemployment growth

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 15 ,2014

PREDICTED 2 PARTY PREFERRED SWING

Postcodes that swing to the coalition are shown in blue. Postcodes that swing to Labor are in Yellow – Red.

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 10 ,2014

FEB 13 to FEB 14 -CHANGE IN UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

  To locate a postcode, type your postcode into the search window and hit enter. Click on the search result

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 10 ,2014

NOV 2007 to NOV 2013 – CHANGE IN PARTICIPATION RATES

To locate a postcode, type your postcode into the search window and hit enter. Click on the search result and

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 10 ,2014

2013 FEDERAL ELECTION MAP BY POSTCODE

Postcodes that swing to the coalition are shown in blue. Postcodes that swing to Labor are in Yellow – Red.

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJuly 04 ,2014

FEB 2014 – AUSTRALIAN JOB PROFILE

  The reader is advised that Labour Market data provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics has undergone a major

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JBl@ck-ElaborateApril 27 ,2014

2008 GIPPSLAND BY BY-ELECTION

2008 Gippsland by By-Election The first thing that stands out with the booth profile of the Gippsland by-election results is

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJanuary 17 ,2014

SEPT 2013 – FEDERAL ELECTION PROFILE

Developed by Australian Development Strategies. The results of the profile and the modelling show that Labor lost support from its

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 26 ,2013

AUG 2013 – AUSTRALIAN JOB PROFILE

This profile is based on jobs data collected by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. The primary source is the monthly

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 24 ,2013

Mar 2001 – Ryan By-Election Analysis

ALP Two Party Preferred Swings, Demographic Correlations for Ryan 1998 Federal Election and 2001 By-election.   Download  Ryan By-Election Analysis

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 27 ,2013

2011 New South Wales Election Profile

We normally look at a chart showing swings to and from political parties by a specific demographic group and it

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JBl@ck-ElaborateMarch 21 ,2015

NOV 2012 – AUSTRALIAN JOB PROFILE

This profile is based on jobs data collected by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. The primary source is the monthly

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 24 ,2013

Demographic Winners & Losers in 2014

We have been saying for some time that any improvement in the labour market could be identified by a rise

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JBl@ck-ElaborateJanuary 07 ,2015

AUG 2012 – AUSTRALIAN JOB PROFILE

This profile is based on jobs data collected by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. The primary source is the monthly

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 24 ,2013

FEB 2012 – AUSTRALIAN JOB PROFILE

This is the first time we have modelled per capita employment as well as unemployment and it was felt to

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 24 ,2013

NOV 2011 – AUSTRALIAN JOB PROFILE

After four years of Labor Governments Australia’s unemployment level has risen by 130,000, with the original rate of unemployment up

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 24 ,2013

AUG 2011 – AUSTRALIAN JOB PROFILE

This profile is based on data collected by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. The primary source is the monthly Labour

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 24 ,2013

MAY 2011 – AUSTRALIAN JOB PROFILE

From May 2010 to May 2011the unemployment rate dropped from 5.2 percent to 5.0 percent, still about one percent higher

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 24 ,2013

FEB/MAR 2011 – AUSTRALIAN JOB PROFILE

Our latest pre Budget profile on unemployment to March 2011shows that about half of last year’s school leavers, who would

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 24 ,2013

AUG 2010 – AUSTRALIAN JOB PROFILE

The recession is well and truly over, with demand for high SES jobs now so high that unemployment in August

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 08 ,2013

MAY 2010 – RUIN

 The Unemployment Profiles from May 2009 to May 2010  The recession is well and truly over, with demand for high

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 24 ,2013

FEB 2010 – RUIN – LGAQ

Regional Unemployment Index (RUIN) – February 2010 Sponsored by Local Government Association of Queensland. The picture to February 2010. Since

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 27 ,2013

2010 – FEDERAL ELECTION PROFILE

Whereas the 2007 election result represented faith and resurgence for the ALP, the 2010 result showed a Labor Party profile

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 08 ,2013

2010 – VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION PROFILE

Labor lost the 2010 Victorian elections with swings to the Liberals from normally solid Labor demographics, such as female white

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 08 ,2013

JUN 5/6 2010 – WEALTHY GREENS NEW DLP – The Weekend Australian

In all the millions of dollars the Prime Minister and Treasurer spent on market research and advertising plans for their

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 09 ,2013

Aug 2009 – RUIN – LGAQ

Regional Unemployment Index (RUIN) for August 2009 Sponsored by the Logan Government Association of Queensland The picture in August. The

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 27 ,2013

May 2009 – RUIN – LGAQ

Regional Unemployment Index (RUIN) – May 2009 Sponsored by Local Government Association of Queensland. Reading the report From the top,

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 27 ,2013

Apr 2009 – Qld Election Report

Our ADS Elaborate modelling explained 96 percent of the variance in the 2PP ALP vote at the Queensland elections on

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 08 ,2013

Nov 2008 – RUIN

Regional Unemployment Index (RUIN) November – 2008 Towards the end of 2008, it was apparent Australia was entering a major

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JBl@ck-ElaborateDecember 27 ,2013

2007 – Election Profile

Kevin Rudd in 2007 achieved the impossible and breathed life into the Whitlam era blue collar Labor voter. Across Australian

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 09 ,2013

Jul 2001 – Aston By-Election Analysis

Demographic Correlations for ALP Swing in Aston By-Election, July 2001 Download  ASTON BY-ELECTION ANALYSIS    

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JBl@ck-ElaborateNovember 27 ,2013

Where the ALP lost its longtime supporters

LAST Saturday, in polling booths inside $14.2 billion worth of new school halls constructed under Labor’s Building the Education Revolution

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 16 ,2013

1998 – Election Profile

  Electoral Snakes and Ladders Anyone who has played snakes and ladders knows that, just before the winning square, there

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 09 ,2013

Religion and Politics

In the 2007 election, we saw significant swings to the Christian Kevin Rudd led Labor Party across seats where religions

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 09 ,2013

Notes on Political Economy June 10

In this note we are presenting some data relevant to the current Australian political economy, where we are in the

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 09 ,2013

May Regional Unemployment Index

The May 2010 Regional Unemployment Index (RUIN) shows that the 2009 downturn is well and truly over, with demand for

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 09 ,2013

The original One Nation Profile

Back in 1998 the major parties were under pressure from One Nation, particularly in the State of Queensland, where the

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 08 ,2013

Impact of the GFC on Education

Read the latest report on the impact the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) has had on education costs on Australian enrolments

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JBl@ck-ElaborateSeptember 08 ,2013

Our People

What Our Clients Say

Billanook College has worked with John Black and the Education Geographics team for many years now and this partnership has been critical to underpinning the Strategic Planning that we have conducted as a school. Their focus on providing quantitative information, supported by broad industry knowledge, has formed an essential part of our decision making and I would highly recommend their work to my colleagues.

Roger Oates

( Principal - Billanook College )

As a result of the work we have done with ADS and Business Geographics, our approach to future enrolment recruitment has become far more strategic, focussed and efficient. In particular, the geo-coding of enrolments has enabled us to recalibrate our bus runs… so as to maximise service to families with enrolled students in 2015. Really useful data.

West Moreton Anglican College

Geoff McLay

( Principal - West Moreton Anglican College )

ADS demographic profiling has helped us focus marketing initiatives in areas where we could make the biggest enrolment gains. ADS also coordinated a follow up phone survey which was valuable in a number of ways. It led to several parents contacting the College for more information, assisted the College to better understand the thinking behind the decision making of parents in the local area and provided a new perspective on current and future bus routes. I would recommend the process to any school looking for new insights into how to gain enrolments.

Steve Croft

( Retired Head of College - Springfield Anglican College )

Our College has used the services of John Black (ADS) for many years now, and reliable statistics with great interpretation has given our Board and Executive greater confidence about the marketplace than we could possibly have otherwise. Every school should be watching its market and demographics closely, and in this field, the work of John Black (ADS) is outstanding

Pastor Ron Woolley

( Retired Headmaster - Citipointe Christian College )

These new on line reports and the format they are presented on are fantastic. There is a lot of rich data there that would have gathered dust in the hard copy of the report, but the interactivity of the site is much more conducive to digesting the material. One key to making this useful is your interpretation and descriptions for the items like Stereotypes, Demographics, etc. Thanks for taking us on as a demonstration school. I hope you benefit from it as much as we are.

Stephen Cooke

( Former Business Manager - St Andrews Lutheran College )

John Black, through ADS and Education Geographics has assisted our strategic marketing, enrolment targeting, bus routes and aided in a deeper understanding of our current parent demographics and the overall demographics of our drawing area. This has been done via data sets, presented as interactive maps and easy to understand visual information. The interactive maps and visual information comes with easy to understand instructions and most importantly, accurate analysis.

Allan Shaw

( Retired Principal and Chief Executive - The Knox School )

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