Monthly Archives: July 2014

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DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE OF QLD VOTES IN 2012

Category:Election Profiles,Maps - Elections,QLD,Qld Election 2012

The strongest swings against the ALP in 2012 were from Labor’s own 2009 Labor voters. This swing correlation of minus 0.67 from Labor’s Queensland state 2009 support base was even bigger than the swing correlation of minus 0.57 against the NSW ALP from its support base last year. In other words, the biggest swings against Labor were in its safest seats.

On Election Day, March 24, Labor lost 15.6 percent of its 2009 primary vote, taking it from 42.3 percent to 26.8 percent. This is more than one in three former state Labor voters. Of the 89 seats contested by Labor, the Labor Party did not win more than 50 percent of the primary vote in any seat. The highest primary vote was 47.4 percent in Woodridge, one of the eight seats retained by Labor.

Read Full Report – QLD STATE ELECTION REPORT April 2012.pdf

 


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MAY QTR 2014 – LABOUR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATE MAP

Category:Labour Market 2014,Maps - Labour Market,Maps By Postcodes

 

To locate a postcode, type your postcode into the search window and hit enter. Click on the search result and the map will centre on your postcode. The search window can be accessed by clicking OPTIONS in the top left-hand corner of the map.

 

Map provided by Business Geographics Pty Ltd

 

Disclaimer: The Labour Market reports and associated maps have been prepared as an educational and public relations exercise and have not been designed as an advisory tool for business and we take no responsibility for those who use either of them for these purposes. The sampling errors for smaller Labour Force regions are often large and the raw figures used cannot be easily adjusted for seasonal trends. The statistical significance of the profiles also need to be considered. We repeat, caution is urged in any interpretation of these statistics. We acknowledge and thank the Australian Bureau of Statistics for the provision of original data, Dr Otto Helwig of MDS for the HES micro simulation modelling and Phil Henry of Business Geographics for the mapping.

 

 


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MAY QTR 2014 – AUSTRALIAN JOB PROFILE

Category:Labour Market,Labour Market 2014

Originally published in “The Australian”

 

During the 12 months to May 2014, YoY employment growth was 99,400, unemployment growth was 43,000 and Not in the Labour Force growth was 197,500. Given our long term participation and unemployment rates of about 65 percent and 5 percent respectively, we should have seen employment growth of 210,000, unemployment growth of 10,000 and Not in the Labour Force growth of 120,000. So our employment growth was about 110,000 too low, employment growth was 30,000 too high and Not in the Labour Force was 80,000 too high.

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PREDICTED 2 PARTY PREFERRED SWING

Category:Maps - Elections,Maps By Postcodes

Postcodes that swing to the coalition are shown in blue. Postcodes that swing to Labor are in Yellow – Red.

The first range is up to 3.5% which was the national average swing, the second range is 3.5% to 7% and the highest swings are shown as 7% or more.

To locate a postcode, type your postcode into the search window and hit enter. Click on the search result and the map will centre on your postcode. The search window can be accessed by clicking OPTIONS in the top left-hand corner of the map.

 

Map provided by Business Geographics Pty Ltd

Disclaimer: The Labour Market reports and associated maps have been prepared as an educational and public relations exercise and have not been designed as an advisory tool for business and we take no responsibility for those who use either of them for these purposes. The sampling errors for smaller Labour Force regions are often large and the raw figures used cannot be easily adjusted for seasonal trends. The statistical significance of the profiles also need to be considered. We repeat, caution is urged in any interpretation of these statistics. We acknowledge and thank the Australian Bureau of Statistics for the provision of original data, Dr Otto Helwig of MDS for the HES micro simulation modelling and Phil Henry of Business Geographics for the mapping.

 

 


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FEB 13 to FEB 14 -CHANGE IN UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

Category:Labour Market,Labour Market 2014,Maps - Labour Market,Maps By Postcodes

 

To locate a postcode, type your postcode into the search window and hit enter. Click on the search result and the map will centre on your postcode. The search window can be accessed by clicking OPTIONS in the top left-hand corner of the map.

 

Map provided by Business Geographics Pty Ltd

Disclaimer: The Labour Market reports and associated maps have been prepared as an educational and public relations exercise and have not been designed as an advisory tool for business and we take no responsibility for those who use either of them for these purposes. The sampling errors for smaller Labour Force regions are often large and the raw figures used cannot be easily adjusted for seasonal trends. The statistical significance of the profiles also need to be considered. We repeat, caution is urged in any interpretation of these statistics. We acknowledge and thank the Australian Bureau of Statistics for the provision of original data, Dr Otto Helwig of MDS for the HES micro simulation modelling and Phil Henry of Business Geographics for the mapping.

 

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NOV 2007 to NOV 2013 – CHANGE IN PARTICIPATION RATES

Category:Maps - Labour Market,Maps By Postcodes

To locate a postcode, type your postcode into the search window and hit enter. Click on the search result and the map will centre on your postcode. The search window can be accessed by clicking OPTIONS in the top left-hand corner of the map.

Map provided by Business Geographics Pty Ltd

Disclaimer: The Labour Market reports and associated maps have been prepared as an educational and public relations exercise and have not been designed as an advisory tool for business and we take no responsibility for those who use either of them for these purposes. The sampling errors for smaller Labour Force regions are often large and the raw figures used cannot be easily adjusted for seasonal trends. The statistical significance of the profiles also need to be considered. We repeat, caution is urged in any interpretation of these statistics. We acknowledge and thank the Australian Bureau of Statistics for the provision of original data, Dr Otto Helwig of MDS for the HES micro simulation modelling and Phil Henry of Business Geographics for the mapping.

 

 


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2013 FEDERAL ELECTION MAP BY POSTCODE

Category:Maps - Elections,Maps By Postcodes,National 2013

Postcodes that swing to the coalition are shown in blue. Postcodes that swing to Labor are in Yellow – Red.

The first range is up to 3.5% which was the national average swing, the second range is 3.5% to 7% and the highest swings are shown as 7% or more.

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